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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30510204060801004839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.61.5
15.517.0
Auto6.4
Teleop10.1
End1.2
blue by 3.9
21.50.3
20.620.3
Auto10.0
Teleop7.8
End3.6
Second
6078
#23
12.11.5
10.311.8
Auto4.0
Teleop6.6
End1.6
blue by 1.7
9215
#27
13.90.3
13.513.2
Auto4.7
Teleop6.7
End2.4
Third
9743
#35
6.21.5
3.55.0
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End0.5
blue by 2.7
8.80.3
9.18.8
Auto3.6
Teleop3.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed