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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373210204050602945

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3767
#11
14.50.3
14.614.3
Auto6.2
Teleop7.5
End0.8
red by 1.6
9763
#20
12.90.7
13.312.6
Auto4.2
Teleop6.8
End1.8
Second
3658
#28
9.40.3
8.48.0
Auto3.3
Teleop4.3
End1.8
blue by 0.7
10.10.8
9.78.9
Auto3.6
Teleop5.3
End1.3
Third
8126
#33
9.00.3
9.99.5
Auto2.6
Teleop5.1
End1.3
red by 3.1
9239
#31
5.90.8
6.55.8
Auto3.2
Teleop1.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed