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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4052102030607080903156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.80.5
19.318.8
Auto6.2
Teleop10.8
End2.8
blue by 1.7
21.50.6
20.320.9
Auto10.0
Teleop7.8
End3.6
Second
8126
#33
9.00.5
9.59.0
Auto2.6
Teleop5.1
End1.3
blue by 9.4
18.40.6
17.518.1
Auto8.5
Teleop7.1
End2.8
Third
7658
#30
8.60.5
9.18.6
Auto3.2
Teleop3.3
End2.0
blue by 0.8
3658
#28
9.40.7
8.08.7
Auto3.3
Teleop4.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned