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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3255204060801004065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.90.6
22.322.9
Auto7.7
Teleop13.9
End2.3
blue by 5.2
29.10.5
29.028.5
Auto9.5
Teleop17.5
End2.0
Second
9743
#35
6.20.6
5.05.7
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End0.5
blue by 8.3
3767
#11
14.50.5
14.313.8
Auto6.2
Teleop7.5
End0.8
Third
1528
#26
4.70.6
4.14.7
Auto1.1
Teleop3.5
End0.2
red by 1.8
7203
#29
2.90.5
3.42.9
Auto1.5
Teleop0.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed45%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned