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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2621010304050603632

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10.10.6
8.99.5
Auto3.6
Teleop5.3
End1.3
red by 1.4
7256
#12
8.70.2
9.29.4
Auto2.4
Teleop5.2
End1.1
Second
8.80.6
8.89.4
Auto3.6
Teleop3.8
End1.5
red by 2.9
9239
#31
5.90.2
5.85.9
Auto3.2
Teleop1.9
End0.8
Third
9542
#17
5.60.6
5.05.6
Auto3.8
Teleop0.7
End1.0
red by 0.8
5623
#32
4.80.2
4.64.8
Auto1.7
Teleop1.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned