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Red78
262012.4
168425.9
506611.1
Blue27
9312B19.0
57319.4
118815.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions726502040801001201407827

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#20
25.90.8
25.125.9
Auto5.5
Teleop18.9
End1.6
red by 6.6
573
#21
19.42.5
23.220.7
Auto5.3
Teleop8.7
End5.3
Second
2620
#39
12.40.8
23.324.1
Auto4.9
Teleop6.5
End1.0
blue by 6.6
19.05.7
19.013.3
Auto5.1
Teleop11.6
End2.2
Third
5066
#31
11.10.8
15.616.4
Auto4.6
Teleop7.0
End-0.5
blue by 4.5
1188
#28
15.62.5
18.716.2
Auto9.0
Teleop5.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsEarned53%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed39%Ensemble oddsMissed