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Red75
3604B14.9
717433.1
3345.4
Blue86
49426.7
50332.3
2734.1
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1011130501502002507586

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#2
45.41.2
43.942.7
Auto14.6
Teleop26.8
End4.0
red by 11.3
27
#8
34.11.2
44.142.9
Auto11.1
Teleop20.9
End2.2
Second
33.11.2
30.829.6
Auto12.9
Teleop17.2
End3.0
red by 0.8
503
#3
32.31.2
29.127.9
Auto12.8
Teleop15.7
End3.8
Third
14.91.5
14.916.3
Auto6.6
Teleop6.0
End2.3
blue by 11.8
494
#1
26.71.2
27.326.1
Auto8.4
Teleop14.3
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned93%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
73%Ensemble oddsMissed79%Ensemble oddsMissed