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Qual 32024 Big Bang!
Red39
931230.7
828010.7
170130.8
Blue60
125018.7
86227.7
721119.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10092204060801201401603960

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1701
#23
30.83.4
40.3→37.0
Auto9.8
Teleop19.2
End1.8
red by 3.1
862
#10
27.71.6
31.6→30.0
Auto7.3
Teleop17.1
End3.3
Second
9312
#9
30.73.4
34.8→31.4
Auto11.5
Teleop17.4
End1.8
red by 11.6
7211
#15
19.11.6
23.9→22.3
Auto4.8
Teleop12.7
End1.6
Third
8280
#33
10.73.4
14.4→11.0
Auto4.9
Teleop3.7
End2.1
blue by 8.0
1250
#13
18.71.6
28.4→26.8
Auto5.9
Teleop9.7
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
79%Melody oddsMissed79%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed