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Red37
360429.6
102515.8
Blue49
413025.2
436238.6
686113.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions841100501001502003749

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3604
#12
29.62.8
36.733.9
Auto11.5
Teleop15.6
End2.5
blue by 9.0
4362
#14
38.63.3
44.841.5
Auto11.9
Teleop22.1
End4.7
Second
1025
#38
15.82.8
31.328.4
Auto7.5
Teleop5.1
End3.3
blue by 9.4
4130
#18
25.23.3
32.929.6
Auto9.9
Teleop13.1
End2.2
Third
4.02.4
4.06.5
Auto0.4
Teleop1.2
End2.4
blue by 9.4
6861
#25
13.43.3
19.015.7
Auto7.3
Teleop4.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsMissed87%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
67%Ensemble oddsMissed71%Ensemble oddsMissed