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Red46
506611.1
102515.8
717433.1
Blue35
86227.7
3604B14.9
828010.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75610501001502004635

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.11.4
27.326.0
Auto12.9
Teleop17.2
End3.0
red by 5.4
862
#10Sur
27.71.4
28.927.5
Auto7.3
Teleop17.1
End3.3
Second
1025
#38Sur
15.81.4
24.322.9
Auto7.5
Teleop5.1
End3.3
red by 1.0
14.92.4
18.416.0
Auto6.6
Teleop6.0
End2.3
Third
5066
#31
11.11.4
14.913.5
Auto4.6
Teleop7.0
End-0.5
red by 0.4
8280
#33
10.71.4
9.37.9
Auto4.9
Teleop3.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsMissed49%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
46%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed