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Red106
776230.2
9312B19.0
3345.4
Blue24
125018.7
262012.4
719616.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9165020408010012014016010624

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#2
45.41.8
39.441.2
Auto14.6
Teleop26.8
End4.0
red by 26.7
1250
#13
18.72.5
22.620.1
Auto5.9
Teleop9.7
End3.1
Second
7762
#17
30.21.8
29.130.9
Auto10.8
Teleop17.5
End1.9
red by 13.6
7196
#16
16.62.5
17.314.8
Auto7.7
Teleop8.3
End0.7
Third
19.03.0
10.413.4
Auto5.1
Teleop11.6
End2.2
red by 6.6
2620
#39
12.42.5
21.819.3
Auto4.9
Teleop6.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
67%Melody oddsEarned51%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
36%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed