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Red71
24720.4
2734.1
686113.4
Blue63
317527.3
84266.0
584328.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions846902040601001201407163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#8
34.10.2
39.539.3
Auto11.1
Teleop20.9
End2.2
red by 5.6
28.50.1
24.424.3
Auto11.9
Teleop14.8
End1.8
Second
247
#4
20.40.2
20.019.8
Auto7.5
Teleop9.6
End3.2
blue by 6.9
3175
#27
27.30.1
30.830.7
Auto8.7
Teleop16.3
End2.2
Third
6861
#25
13.40.2
14.614.4
Auto7.3
Teleop4.3
End1.8
red by 7.3
8426
#37
6.00.1
9.39.2
Auto4.8
Teleop0.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsEarned62%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
46%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed