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Red50
413025.2
1684B11.2
Blue74
283215.7
721119.1
168425.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions417002060801001201405074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4130
#18
25.20.4
27.327.7
Auto9.9
Teleop13.1
End2.2
blue by 0.8
1684
#20
25.90.1
24.824.7
Auto5.5
Teleop18.9
End1.6
Second
11.20.6
11.311.9
Auto4.7
Teleop5.4
End1.1
blue by 7.9
7211
#15
19.10.1
20.019.9
Auto4.8
Teleop12.7
End1.6
Third
4.00.6
1.72.3
Auto0.4
Teleop1.2
End2.4
blue by 11.7
2832
#26
15.70.1
15.215.1
Auto5.3
Teleop8.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed58%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned