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Red88
170130.8
924522.5
608130.5
Blue77
506611.1
118815.6
436238.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96680501508877

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1701
#23
30.80.3
29.629.8
Auto9.8
Teleop19.2
End1.8
blue by 7.8
4362
#14
38.60.5
37.537.9
Auto11.9
Teleop22.1
End4.7
Second
30.50.3
33.433.7
Auto12.4
Teleop14.2
End3.9
red by 14.9
1188
#28
15.60.5
14.014.5
Auto9.0
Teleop5.6
End0.9
Third
9245
#19
22.50.3
21.021.3
Auto8.0
Teleop13.3
End1.2
red by 11.4
5066
#31
11.10.5
13.514.0
Auto4.6
Teleop7.0
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned73%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
50%Ensemble oddsEarned17%Ensemble oddsMissed