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Qual 252024 Big Bang!
Red66
9312B19.0
24720.4
721119.1
Blue67
1684B11.2
49426.7
3345.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions548901001506667

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
247
#4
20.40.9
19.8→20.6
Auto7.5
Teleop9.6
End3.2
blue by 25.1
33
#2
45.41.1
41.2→40.1
Auto14.6
Teleop26.8
End4.0
Second
7211
#15
19.10.9
19.9→20.8
Auto4.8
Teleop12.7
End1.6
blue by 7.6
494
#1
26.71.1
23.5→22.4
Auto8.4
Teleop14.3
End4.0
Third
9312B
#22
19.01.4
13.4→14.8
Auto5.1
Teleop11.6
End2.2
red by 7.8
1684B
#32
11.21.8
11.9→10.1
Auto4.7
Teleop5.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
56%Melody oddsEarned75%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsEarned54%Ensemble oddsMissed