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Red75
4532.4
27B22.7
86227.7
Blue46
719721.1
28011.1
168425.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions577201001502007546

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#10
27.71.2
27.528.6
Auto7.3
Teleop17.1
End3.3
red by 1.8
1684
#20
25.91.6
24.723.1
Auto5.5
Teleop18.9
End1.6
Second
27B
#11
22.72.0
22.524.5
Auto6.6
Teleop13.4
End2.7
red by 1.6
7197
#30
21.11.6
25.924.2
Auto7.2
Teleop13.2
End0.7
Third
453
#40
2.41.2
3.34.5
Auto2.4
Teleop-0.9
End0.8
blue by 8.6
280
#34
11.11.6
13.011.3
Auto4.1
Teleop5.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsEarned55%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsMissed