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Qual 272024 Big Bang!
Red80
828010.7
360429.6
719616.6
Blue76
413025.2
509018.4
125018.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions587801001502002508076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3604
#12
29.61.1
31.0→32.1
Auto11.5
Teleop15.6
End2.5
red by 4.4
4130
#18
25.21.1
27.7→26.7
Auto9.9
Teleop13.1
End2.2
Second
7196
#16
16.61.1
15.6→16.7
Auto7.7
Teleop8.3
End0.7
blue by 2.1
1250
#13
18.71.1
20.5→19.5
Auto5.9
Teleop9.7
End3.1
Third
8280
#33
10.71.1
7.9→9.0
Auto4.9
Teleop3.7
End2.1
blue by 7.7
5090
#36
18.41.1
19.8→18.7
Auto11.6
Teleop5.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsEarned57%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed