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Qual 292024 Big Bang!
Red64
924522.5
118815.6
931230.7
Blue62
3604B14.9
317527.3
608130.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71890501001502002506462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9312
#9
30.70.2
30.6→30.4
Auto11.5
Teleop17.4
End1.8
red by 0.2
6081
#5
30.51.1
33.7→32.6
Auto12.4
Teleop14.2
End3.9
Second
9245
#19
22.50.2
21.3→21.1
Auto8.0
Teleop13.3
End1.2
blue by 4.7
3175
#27
27.31.1
31.6→30.5
Auto8.7
Teleop16.3
End2.2
Third
1188
#28
15.60.2
14.5→14.3
Auto9.0
Teleop5.6
End0.9
red by 0.7
3604B
#29
14.91.8
13.2→11.4
Auto6.6
Teleop6.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsEarned95%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
41%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsMissed