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Qual 302024 Big Bang!
Red54
4532.4
168425.9
24720.4
Blue68
50332.3
776230.2
686113.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions488601001505468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#20
25.90.4
23.1→23.5
Auto5.5
Teleop18.9
End1.6
blue by 6.4
503
#3
32.30.3
26.5→26.2
Auto12.8
Teleop15.7
End3.8
Second
247
#4
20.40.4
20.6→21.0
Auto7.5
Teleop9.6
End3.2
blue by 9.9
7762
#17
30.20.3
31.4→31.0
Auto10.8
Teleop17.5
End1.9
Third
453
#40
2.40.4
4.5→4.9
Auto2.4
Teleop-0.9
End0.8
blue by 11.0
6861
#25
13.40.3
15.2→14.8
Auto7.3
Teleop4.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsMissed