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Red68
828010.7
49426.7
Blue53
84266.0
436238.6
28011.1
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33700501001502006853

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#1
26.71.9
22.424.3
Auto8.4
Teleop14.3
End4.0
blue by 11.9
4362
#14
38.60.4
37.937.6
Auto11.9
Teleop22.1
End4.7
Second
8280
#33
10.71.9
9.010.9
Auto4.9
Teleop3.7
End2.1
blue by 0.4
280
#34
11.10.4
11.311.0
Auto4.1
Teleop5.3
End1.7
Third
4.03.2
2.86.0
Auto0.4
Teleop1.2
End2.4
blue by 2.0
8426
#37
6.00.4
9.49.1
Auto4.8
Teleop0.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsEarned53%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsEarned36%Ensemble oddsMissed