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Red111
3345.4
27B22.7
721119.1
Blue66
360429.6
584328.5
719721.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions958940608010012014011166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#2
45.41.6
40.141.6
Auto14.6
Teleop26.8
End4.0
red by 15.8
3604
#12
29.61.0
32.131.1
Auto11.5
Teleop15.6
End2.5
Second
27B
#11
22.72.6
24.527.1
Auto6.6
Teleop13.4
End2.7
blue by 5.9
28.51.0
24.823.8
Auto11.9
Teleop14.8
End1.8
Third
7211
#15
19.11.6
20.822.4
Auto4.8
Teleop12.7
End1.6
blue by 2.0
7197
#30
21.11.0
24.223.2
Auto7.2
Teleop13.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned90%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsEarned16%Ensemble oddsMissed