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Qual 462024 Big Bang!
Red97
168425.9
436238.6
49426.7
Blue61
283215.7
84266.0
360429.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions975501502009761

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4362
#14
38.61.0
35.1→36.0
Auto11.9
Teleop22.1
End4.7
red by 9.0
3604
#12
29.60.3
30.2→30.4
Auto11.5
Teleop15.6
End2.5
Second
494
#1
26.71.0
24.3→25.2
Auto8.4
Teleop14.3
End4.0
red by 10.9
2832
#26
15.70.3
15.5→15.8
Auto5.3
Teleop8.2
End2.3
Third
1684
#20
25.91.0
23.2→24.1
Auto5.5
Teleop18.9
End1.6
red by 19.9
8426
#37
6.00.3
9.0→9.3
Auto4.8
Teleop0.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
90%Melody oddsEarned76%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
64%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed