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Qual 472024 Big Bang!
Red99
118815.6
3345.4
584328.5
Blue49
931230.7
413025.2
506611.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88770501001509949

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#2
45.41.0
39.8→40.8
Auto14.6
Teleop26.8
End4.0
red by 14.8
9312
#9
30.71.5
31.6→30.1
Auto11.5
Teleop17.4
End1.8
Second
5843
#7
28.51.0
24.4→25.5
Auto11.9
Teleop14.8
End1.8
red by 3.4
4130
#18
25.21.5
26.3→24.8
Auto9.9
Teleop13.1
End2.2
Third
1188
#28
15.61.0
14.3→15.3
Auto9.0
Teleop5.6
End0.9
red by 4.5
5066
#31
11.11.5
13.4→11.9
Auto4.6
Teleop7.0
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsEarned75%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed