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Red54
828010.7
776230.2
28011.1
Blue96
24720.4
50332.3
608130.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions469101001502005496

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7762
#17
30.20.5
28.929.3
Auto10.8
Teleop17.5
End1.9
blue by 2.1
503
#3
32.30.9
27.328.3
Auto12.8
Teleop15.7
End3.8
Second
280
#34
11.10.5
8.79.2
Auto4.1
Teleop5.3
End1.7
blue by 19.4
30.50.9
30.030.9
Auto12.4
Teleop14.2
End3.9
Third
8280
#33
10.70.5
9.39.8
Auto4.9
Teleop3.7
End2.1
blue by 9.7
247
#4
20.40.9
20.020.9
Auto7.5
Teleop9.6
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed81%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed72%Ensemble oddsMissed