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Red106
317527.3
436238.6
360429.6
Blue82
2734.1
719721.1
86227.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1089105015020010682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4362
#14
38.60.2
36.036.2
Auto11.9
Teleop22.1
End4.7
red by 4.5
27
#8
34.10.3
37.236.9
Auto11.1
Teleop20.9
End2.2
Second
3604
#12
29.60.2
30.430.6
Auto11.5
Teleop15.6
End2.5
red by 1.9
862
#10
27.70.3
26.626.4
Auto7.3
Teleop17.1
End3.3
Third
3175
#27
27.30.2
29.529.7
Auto8.7
Teleop16.3
End2.2
red by 6.2
7197
#30
21.10.3
20.219.9
Auto7.2
Teleop13.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
97%Melody oddsEarned93%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
44%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsMissed