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Red48
1684B11.2
686113.4
102515.8
Blue81
125018.7
49426.7
118815.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions457001001502004881

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1025
#38
15.80.0
20.320.3
Auto7.5
Teleop5.1
End3.3
blue by 10.8
494
#1
26.70.0
25.225.3
Auto8.4
Teleop14.3
End4.0
Second
6861
#25
13.40.0
14.114.2
Auto7.3
Teleop4.3
End1.8
blue by 5.3
1250
#13
18.70.0
19.819.9
Auto5.9
Teleop9.7
End3.1
Third
11.20.1
9.09.1
Auto4.7
Teleop5.4
End1.1
blue by 4.4
1188
#28
15.60.0
15.315.3
Auto9.0
Teleop5.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed71%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed30%Ensemble oddsEarned