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Qual 552024 Big Bang!
Red104
49426.7
86227.7
584328.5
Blue49
118815.6
102515.8
317527.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions887002040608010012014010449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5843
#7
28.51.1
25.5→26.6
Auto11.9
Teleop14.8
End1.8
red by 1.3
3175
#27
27.31.1
29.7→28.6
Auto8.7
Teleop16.3
End2.2
Second
862
#10
27.71.1
26.4→27.5
Auto7.3
Teleop17.1
End3.3
red by 11.9
1025
#38
15.81.1
20.3→19.2
Auto7.5
Teleop5.1
End3.3
Third
494
#1
26.71.1
25.3→26.4
Auto8.4
Teleop14.3
End4.0
red by 11.1
1188
#28
15.61.1
15.3→14.2
Auto9.0
Teleop5.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
90%Melody oddsEarned63%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
36%Ensemble oddsEarned16%Ensemble oddsMissed