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Red46
719721.1
3604B14.9
Blue86
360429.6
776230.2
1684B11.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36820501001504686

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7197
#30
21.10.3
19.920.2
Auto7.2
Teleop13.2
End0.7
blue by 9.2
7762
#17
30.20.7
29.330.0
Auto10.8
Teleop17.5
End1.9
Second
14.90.4
14.815.2
Auto6.6
Teleop6.0
End2.3
blue by 14.8
3604
#12
29.60.7
30.631.3
Auto11.5
Teleop15.6
End2.5
Third
4.00.4
2.93.4
Auto0.4
Teleop1.2
End2.4
blue by 7.1
11.21.0
9.110.1
Auto4.7
Teleop5.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed51%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed