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Red95
436238.6
262012.4
24720.4
Blue27
506611.1
509018.4
4532.4
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84320501001502009527

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4362
#14
38.60.1
36.236.3
Auto11.9
Teleop22.1
End4.7
red by 20.2
5090
#36
18.40.5
18.317.7
Auto11.6
Teleop5.9
End0.9
Second
247
#4
20.40.1
20.921.0
Auto7.5
Teleop9.6
End3.2
red by 9.3
5066
#31
11.10.5
11.911.4
Auto4.6
Teleop7.0
End-0.5
Third
2620
#39
12.40.1
12.612.7
Auto4.9
Teleop6.5
End1.0
red by 9.9
453
#40
2.40.5
4.84.3
Auto2.4
Teleop-0.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsEarned3%Ensemble oddsMissed