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Qual 582024 Big Bang!
Red52
686113.4
283215.7
924522.5
Blue79
28011.1
717433.1
170130.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions527601001502002503003505279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9245
#19
22.50.2
19.5→19.3
Auto8.0
Teleop13.3
End1.2
blue by 10.6
7174
#6
33.10.2
29.0→29.2
Auto12.9
Teleop17.2
End3.0
Second
2832
#26
15.70.2
16.1→15.9
Auto5.3
Teleop8.2
End2.3
blue by 15.1
1701
#23
30.80.2
27.9→28.1
Auto9.8
Teleop19.2
End1.8
Third
6861
#25
13.40.2
14.2→14.0
Auto7.3
Teleop4.3
End1.8
red by 2.3
280
#34
11.10.2
9.2→9.3
Auto4.1
Teleop5.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsMissed58%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsEarned