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Red60
84266.0
828010.7
353827.0
Blue75
168425.9
125018.7
3345.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4710301502006075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#24
27.00.2
31.231.4
Auto9.4
Teleop12.4
End5.1
blue by 18.5
33
#2
45.40.8
41.140.4
Auto14.6
Teleop26.8
End4.0
Second
8280
#33
10.70.2
9.810.1
Auto4.9
Teleop3.7
End2.1
blue by 15.2
1684
#20
25.90.8
25.524.8
Auto5.5
Teleop18.9
End1.6
Third
8426
#37
6.00.2
8.38.5
Auto4.8
Teleop0.1
End1.2
blue by 12.7
1250
#13
18.70.8
19.919.1
Auto5.9
Teleop9.7
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed87%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsEarned45%Ensemble oddsEarned