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Red50
931230.7
1684B11.2
27B22.7
Blue87
49426.7
506611.1
776230.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69683040506080901001105087

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.70.8
29.228.3
Auto11.5
Teleop17.4
End1.8
red by 0.5
7762
#17
30.21.4
27.629.0
Auto10.8
Teleop17.5
End1.9
Second
27B
#11
22.70.9
22.621.6
Auto6.6
Teleop13.4
End2.7
blue by 4.0
494
#1
26.71.4
24.025.4
Auto8.4
Teleop14.3
End4.0
Third
11.20.9
10.910.0
Auto4.7
Teleop5.4
End1.1
Level
5066
#31
11.11.4
9.811.2
Auto4.6
Teleop7.0
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsMissed58%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
37%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed