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Red52
168425.9
686113.4
509018.4
Blue82
719616.6
719721.1
50332.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions587201001505282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#20
25.90.4
22.822.3
Auto5.5
Teleop18.9
End1.6
blue by 6.4
503
#3
32.31.2
27.729.0
Auto12.8
Teleop15.7
End3.8
Second
5090
#36
18.40.4
17.617.2
Auto11.6
Teleop5.9
End0.9
blue by 2.6
7197
#30
21.11.2
19.120.3
Auto7.2
Teleop13.2
End0.7
Third
6861
#25
13.40.4
13.913.5
Auto7.3
Teleop4.3
End1.8
blue by 3.2
7196
#16
16.61.2
16.718.0
Auto7.7
Teleop8.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed63%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed