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Red87
118815.6
413025.2
168425.9
Blue95
924522.5
776230.2
719721.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65790501001508795

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#20
25.90.8
22.323.2
Auto5.5
Teleop18.9
End1.6
blue by 4.3
7762
#17
30.20.8
29.029.7
Auto10.8
Teleop17.5
End1.9
Second
4130
#18
25.20.8
23.224.0
Auto9.9
Teleop13.1
End2.2
red by 2.7
9245
#19
22.50.8
20.521.2
Auto8.0
Teleop13.3
End1.2
Third
1188
#28
15.60.8
14.715.6
Auto9.0
Teleop5.6
End0.9
blue by 5.5
7197
#30
21.10.8
20.321.1
Auto7.2
Teleop13.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsEarned58%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsEarned