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Red51
28011.1
262012.4
1684B11.2
Blue102
50332.3
170130.8
3604B14.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27840406010012014016051102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2620
#39
12.41.2
11.212.4
Auto4.9
Teleop6.5
End1.0
blue by 19.9
503
#3
32.32.2
29.031.2
Auto12.8
Teleop15.7
End3.8
Second
11.21.2
10.011.2
Auto4.7
Teleop5.4
End1.1
blue by 19.7
1701
#23
30.82.2
27.329.5
Auto9.8
Teleop19.2
End1.8
Third
280
#34
11.11.2
9.911.1
Auto4.1
Teleop5.3
End1.7
blue by 3.8
14.92.2
12.915.1
Auto6.6
Teleop6.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed68%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed34%Ensemble oddsEarned