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Red54
612020.1
653813.7
6612.9
Blue14
97354.2
88994.9
92117.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41160102030506070805414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.11.7
11.613.3
Auto8.0
Teleop10.7
End1.5
red by 13.0
9211
#36
7.10.4
5.85.4
Auto3.3
Teleop3.1
End0.6
Second
6538
#21
13.71.0
9.910.9
Auto9.4
Teleop3.7
End0.6
red by 8.9
8899
#31
4.90.4
8.88.4
Auto3.2
Teleop1.4
End0.2
Third
66
#19
12.91.7
12.614.3
Auto3.4
Teleop6.1
End3.4
red by 8.7
9735
#38
4.20.2
2.92.7
Auto1.8
Teleop1.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed