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Red24
947.9
837317.5
55316.0
Blue54
370722.2
60576.2
851910.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373925303545502454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8373
#17
17.50.7
14.714.0
Auto6.6
Teleop8.9
End2.0
blue by 4.7
22.21.3
16.117.5
Auto6.5
Teleop13.1
End2.6
Second
94
#14
7.91.1
12.711.6
Auto0.9
Teleop6.2
End0.8
blue by 2.5
8519
#30
10.40.8
10.311.1
Auto5.1
Teleop2.8
End2.6
Third
5531
#22
6.01.1
6.75.5
Auto3.6
Teleop2.0
End0.4
blue by 0.2
6057
#16
6.21.3
8.69.9
Auto2.9
Teleop1.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsEarned