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Red66
721118.8
21713.3
615025.0
Blue64
148122.5
125021.8
817910.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534401001502002503006664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.01.3
16.217.5
Auto10.4
Teleop12.7
End1.9
red by 2.5
1481
#11
22.52.0
11.213.2
Auto11.9
Teleop8.5
End2.1
Second
18.82.1
16.118.3
Auto6.7
Teleop9.8
End2.4
blue by 3.0
1250
#10
21.82.0
19.621.5
Auto8.2
Teleop12.0
End1.7
Third
217
#24
13.32.1
14.616.7
Auto3.9
Teleop8.4
End1.0
red by 3.3
8179
#23
10.02.0
10.312.3
Auto3.6
Teleop5.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsEarned