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Red30
43956.7
365620.9
75984.9
Blue28
88994.9
71479.4
653813.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30270501001502002503028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.91.0
11.110.1
Auto7.2
Teleop11.4
End2.4
red by 7.2
6538
#21
13.70.1
10.910.7
Auto9.4
Teleop3.7
End0.6
Second
4395
#18
6.71.0
6.65.6
Auto3.0
Teleop2.5
End1.2
blue by 2.7
7147
#35
9.40.2
5.75.5
Auto4.1
Teleop3.9
End1.3
Third
7598
#33
4.91.0
9.48.4
Auto1.5
Teleop2.6
End0.8
Level
8899
#31
4.90.2
8.48.2
Auto3.2
Teleop1.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed