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Red39
440515.9
722012.1
88959.7
Blue50
851910.4
837317.5
118818.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2840010205060703950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4405
#20
15.90.8
11.512.2
Auto7.1
Teleop7.0
End1.9
blue by 2.3
1188
#15
18.21.1
9.710.8
Auto9.2
Teleop7.2
End1.8
Second
7220
#28
12.10.5
5.86.3
Auto4.7
Teleop5.9
End1.4
blue by 5.4
8373
#17
17.50.7
14.014.7
Auto6.6
Teleop8.9
End2.0
Third
8895
#29
9.70.8
9.810.5
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End0.6
blue by 0.7
8519
#30
10.40.7
11.111.8
Auto5.1
Teleop2.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed