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Red53
60576.2
6612.9
46921.0
Blue6
97273.4
15283.4
88959.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4619010304050607080536

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#3
21.01.7
14.315.9
Auto4.5
Teleop14.6
End2.0
red by 11.3
8895
#29
9.71.6
10.59.0
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End0.6
Second
66
#19
12.91.7
13.815.5
Auto3.4
Teleop6.1
End3.4
red by 9.5
1528
#27
3.41.0
2.61.6
Auto2.3
Teleop1.1
End-0.1
Third
6057
#16
6.21.7
9.911.6
Auto2.9
Teleop1.6
End1.7
red by 2.8
9727
#34
3.41.6
7.25.6
Auto1.8
Teleop1.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsEarned16%Ensemble oddsMissed