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Red51
610111.2
83010.8
612020.1
Blue33
722012.1
97753.5
837317.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32310102040506070805133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.12.5
14.917.4
Auto8.0
Teleop10.7
End1.5
red by 2.6
8373
#17
17.50.2
14.714.9
Auto6.6
Teleop8.9
End2.0
Second
6101
#26
11.22.5
3.25.7
Auto5.7
Teleop3.4
End2.1
blue by 0.9
7220
#28
12.10.2
6.36.5
Auto4.7
Teleop5.9
End1.4
Third
830
#13
10.82.5
10.613.1
Auto6.9
Teleop3.9
End0.0
red by 7.3
9775
#39
3.50.3
7.17.4
Auto2.0
Teleop1.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed