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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17550406080100871

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8832
#32
9.61.3
11.19.7
Auto5.5
Teleop3.9
End0.3
blue by 12.2
1250
#10
21.81.2
23.724.9
Auto8.2
Teleop12.0
End1.7
Second
9735
#38
4.20.8
1.20.4
Auto1.8
Teleop1.8
End0.7
blue by 13.3
8373
#17
17.50.7
13.814.6
Auto6.6
Teleop8.9
End2.0
Third
9775
#39
3.51.3
7.76.3
Auto2.0
Teleop1.0
End0.5
blue by 6.2
8895
#29
9.71.2
7.78.9
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed