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Red78
615025.0
71479.4
722012.1
Blue17
97273.4
21713.3
92117.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35310204060801007817

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.01.5
19.520.9
Auto10.4
Teleop12.7
End1.9
red by 11.6
217
#24
13.31.2
14.213.0
Auto3.9
Teleop8.4
End1.0
Second
7220
#28
12.11.5
6.68.1
Auto4.7
Teleop5.9
End1.4
red by 5.0
9211
#36
7.11.2
6.35.0
Auto3.3
Teleop3.1
End0.6
Third
7147
#35
9.42.5
4.77.2
Auto4.1
Teleop3.9
End1.3
red by 6.0
9727
#34
3.41.2
7.66.4
Auto1.8
Teleop1.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed