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Red59
148122.5
88959.7
71479.4
Blue15
55316.0
721118.8
6612.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324601020406070805915

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1481
#11
22.52.7
15.918.6
Auto11.9
Teleop8.5
End2.1
red by 3.7
18.82.4
20.418.0
Auto6.7
Teleop9.8
End2.4
Second
8895
#29
9.72.7
8.210.9
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End0.6
blue by 3.2
66
#19
12.92.4
15.112.7
Auto3.4
Teleop6.1
End3.4
Third
7147
#35
9.42.7
6.89.5
Auto4.1
Teleop3.9
End1.3
red by 3.4
5531
#22
6.02.6
4.82.2
Auto3.6
Teleop2.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed