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Red25
661523.4
610111.2
97354.2
Blue34
5121.0
947.9
92117.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343515202530404550552534

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.6
20.519.9
Auto9.5
Teleop12.2
End1.6
red by 2.3
51
#12
21.00.7
15.715.1
Auto6.6
Teleop12.1
End2.3
Second
6101
#26
11.20.6
10.49.7
Auto5.7
Teleop3.4
End2.1
red by 3.3
94
#14
7.90.7
8.68.0
Auto0.9
Teleop6.2
End0.8
Third
9735
#38
4.20.4
0.80.3
Auto1.8
Teleop1.8
End0.7
blue by 2.8
9211
#36
7.10.7
6.45.7
Auto3.3
Teleop3.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed