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Red65
46921.0
97354.2
125021.8
Blue16
97273.4
75984.9
71479.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions481704060806516

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1250
#10
21.81.9
19.721.6
Auto8.2
Teleop12.0
End1.7
red by 12.5
7147
#35
9.40.4
9.79.4
Auto4.1
Teleop3.9
End1.3
Second
469
#3
21.02.0
18.320.3
Auto4.5
Teleop14.6
End2.0
red by 16.1
7598
#33
4.90.4
5.24.9
Auto1.5
Teleop2.6
End0.8
Third
9735
#38
4.21.7
1.93.6
Auto1.8
Teleop1.8
End0.7
red by 0.8
9727
#34
3.40.4
3.83.4
Auto1.8
Teleop1.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsEarned7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed