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Red62
837317.5
661523.4
2408.5
Blue46
6612.9
851910.4
817910.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49350204060806246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.41.4
21.623.0
Auto9.5
Teleop12.2
End1.6
red by 10.5
66
#19
12.90.2
12.712.5
Auto3.4
Teleop6.1
End3.4
Second
8373
#17
17.51.3
14.215.5
Auto6.6
Teleop8.9
End2.0
red by 7.1
8519
#30
10.40.2
11.110.9
Auto5.1
Teleop2.8
End2.6
Third
240
#25
8.51.4
6.88.2
Auto4.3
Teleop2.4
End1.8
blue by 1.6
8179
#23
10.00.2
9.79.5
Auto3.6
Teleop5.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned3%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsEarned