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Red60
370722.2
612020.1
97273.4
Blue30
88959.7
88329.6
21713.3
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52340204060806030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.20.0
21.721.7
Auto6.5
Teleop13.1
End2.6
red by 8.9
217
#24
13.30.2
13.313.1
Auto3.9
Teleop8.4
End1.0
Second
20.10.0
19.819.8
Auto8.0
Teleop10.7
End1.5
red by 10.4
8895
#29
9.70.2
10.09.7
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End0.6
Third
9727
#34
3.40.0
3.43.4
Auto1.8
Teleop1.4
End0.3
blue by 6.2
8832
#32
9.60.2
9.99.6
Auto5.5
Teleop3.9
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed