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Red51
15283.4
5121.0
722012.1
Blue71
947.9
148122.5
43956.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32381020506070805171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#12
21.01.6
17.419.0
Auto6.6
Teleop12.1
End2.3
blue by 1.5
1481
#11
22.50.9
21.322.2
Auto11.9
Teleop8.5
End2.1
Second
7220
#28
12.11.4
10.411.8
Auto4.7
Teleop5.9
End1.4
red by 4.1
94
#14
7.90.9
6.77.6
Auto0.9
Teleop6.2
End0.8
Third
1528
#27
3.41.4
2.03.4
Auto2.3
Teleop1.1
End-0.1
blue by 3.2
4395
#18
6.70.9
5.86.7
Auto3.0
Teleop2.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsEarned